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Fatalities from COVID-19 are reducing Americans' support for Republicans at every level of federal office.


ABSTRACT: Between early March and 1 August 2020, COVID-19 took the lives of more than 150,000 Americans. Here, we examine the political consequences of the COVID-19 epidemic using granular data on COVID-19 fatalities and the attitudes of the American public. We find that COVID-19 has led to substantial damage for President Trump and other Republican candidates. States and local areas with higher levels of COVID-19 fatalities are less likely to support President Trump and Republican candidates for House and Senate. Our results show that President Trump and other Republican candidates would benefit electorally from a reduction in COVID-19 fatalities. This implies that a greater emphasis on social distancing, masks, and other mitigation strategies would benefit the president and his allies.

SUBMITTER: Warshaw C 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7608793 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Fatalities from COVID-19 are reducing Americans' support for Republicans at every level of federal office.

Warshaw Christopher C   Vavreck Lynn L   Baxter-King Ryan R  

Science advances 20201030 44


Between early March and 1 August 2020, COVID-19 took the lives of more than 150,000 Americans. Here, we examine the political consequences of the COVID-19 epidemic using granular data on COVID-19 fatalities and the attitudes of the American public. We find that COVID-19 has led to substantial damage for President Trump and other Republican candidates. States and local areas with higher levels of COVID-19 fatalities are less likely to support President Trump and Republican candidates for House an  ...[more]

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