Real-time forecast of temperature-related excess mortality at small-area level: towards an operational framework.

ABSTRACT: The development of innovative tools for real-time monitoring and forecasting of environmental health impacts is central to effective public health interventions and resource allocation strategies. Though a need for such generic tools has been previously echoed by public health planners and regional authorities responsible for issuing anticipatory alerts, a comprehensive, robust and scalable real-time system for predicting temperature-related excess deaths at a local scale has not been developed yet. Filling this gap, we propose a flexible operational framework for coupling publicly available weather forecasts with temperature-mortality risk functions specific to small census-based zones, the latter derived using state-of-the-art environmental epidemiological models. Utilising high-resoluti

SUBMITTER: Mistry MN 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7616349 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature