Individual-based simulation model for COVID-19 transmission in Daegu, Korea.

ABSTRACT:

Objectives

The aims of this study were to obtain insights into the current coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic in the city of Daegu, which accounted for 6,482 of the 9,241 confirmed cases in Korea as of March 26, 2020, to predict the future spread, and to analyze the impact of school opening.

Methods

Using an individual-based model, we simulated the spread of COVID-19 in Daegu. An individual can be infected through close contact with infected people in a household, at work/school, and at religious and social gatherings. We created a synthetic population from census sample data. Then, 9,000 people were randomly selected from the entire population of Daegu and set as members of the Shincheonji Church. We did not take into account population movements to and from other

SUBMITTER: Son WS 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7644934 | biostudies-literature | 2020

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature