Projection of premature mortality from noncommunicable diseases for 2025: a model based study from Hunan Province, China, 1990-2016.

ABSTRACT:

Background

In 2011, the United Nations set a target to reduce premature mortality from non-communicable diseases (NCDs) by 25% by 2025. While studies have reported the target in some countries, no studies have been done in China. This study aims to project the ability to reach the target in Hunan Province, China, and establish the priority for future interventions.

Methods

We conducted the study during 2019-2020. From the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016, we extracted death data for Hunan during 1990-2016 for four main NCDs, namely cancer, cardiovascular disease (CVD), chronic respiratory diseases, and diabetes. We generated estimates for 2025 by fitting a linear regression to the premature mortality over the most recent trend identified by a joinpoint regression model. W

SUBMITTER: Xu Q 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7646306 | biostudies-literature | 2020

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature