Beyond the peak: A deterministic compartment model for exploring the Covid-19 evolution in Italy.

ABSTRACT: Novel Covid-19 has had a huge impact on the world's population since December 2019. The very rapid spreading of the virus worldwide, with its heavy toll of death and overload of the healthcare systems, induced the scientific community to focus on understanding, monitoring and foreseeing the epidemic evolution, weighing up the impact of different containment measures. An immense literature was produced in few months. Many papers were focused on predicting the peak features through a variety of different models. In the present paper, combining the surveillance data-set with data on mobility and testing, we develop a deterministic compartment model aimed at performing a retrospective analysis to understand the main modifications occurred to the characteristic parameters that regulate the epid

SUBMITTER: Romano S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7647079 | biostudies-literature | 2020

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature