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ABSTRACT: Objectives
To develop a clinically applicable predictive model to quantitate the risk of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline to ≤45 mL/min/1.73 m2 after radical nephrectomy (RN) to better inform decisions between RN and partial nephrectomy (PN).Patients and methods
Our prospectively maintained kidney cancer registry was reviewed for patients with a preoperative eGFR >60 mL/min/1.73 m2 who underwent RN for a localized renal mass. New baseline renal function was indexed. We used multivariable logistic regression to develop a predictive nomogram and evaluated it using receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Decision-curve analysis was used to assess the net clinical benefit.Results
A total of 668 patients met the inclusion criteria, of whom 183 (27%) experienced a decline in eGFR to ≤45 mL/min/1.73 m2 . On multivariable analysis, increasing age (P = 0.001), female gender (P < 0.001), and increasing preoperative creatinine level (P < 0.001) were associated with functional decline. We constructed a predictive nomogram that included these variables in addition to comorbidities with a known association with kidney disease, but found that a simplified model excluding comorbidities was equally robust (cross-validated area under the ROC curve was 0.78). Decision-curve analysis showed the net clinical benefit at probabilities >~11%.Conclusions
The decision to perform RN vs PN is multifaceted. We have provided a simple quantitative tool to help identify patients at risk of a postoperative eGFR of ≤45 mL/min/1.73 m2 , who may be stronger candidates for nephron preservation.
SUBMITTER: McIntosh AG
PROVIDER: S-EPMC7654970 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Dec
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
McIntosh Andrew G AG Parker Daniel C DC Egleston Brian L BL Uzzo Robert G RG Haseebuddin Mohammed M Joshi Shreyas S SS Viterbo Rosalia R Greenberg Richard E RE Chen David Y T DYT Smaldone Marc C MC Kutikov Alexander A
BJU international 20190630 6
<h4>Objectives</h4>To develop a clinically applicable predictive model to quantitate the risk of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline to ≤45 mL/min/1.73 m<sup>2</sup> after radical nephrectomy (RN) to better inform decisions between RN and partial nephrectomy (PN).<h4>Patients and methods</h4>Our prospectively maintained kidney cancer registry was reviewed for patients with a preoperative eGFR >60 mL/min/1.73 m<sup>2</sup> who underwent RN for a localized renal mass. New baseline ...[more]