The global COVID-19 pandemic at a crossroads: relevant countermeasures and ways ahead.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Since the outbreak of novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Wuhan, China at the beginning of December 2019, there have been over 11,200,000 confirmed cases in the world as of the 3^rd July 2020, affecting over 213 countries and regions with nearly 530,000 deaths. The pandemic has been sweeping all continents, North America, Latin America, Europe, Middle East and South Asia among others at an alarming rapidity. Here, we provide an estimate of the scale of the pandemic spread under different scenarios of variation in key influencing parameters with a hybrid model.

Methods

We developed a new hybrid model of infectious disease transmission based on Cellular Automata (CA)-configured SEIR to analyse the COVID-19 outbreak and estimate its transmission pattern

SUBMITTER: Zhou Y 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7656443 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature