Modelling the impact of relaxing COVID-19 control measures during a period of low viral transmission.

ABSTRACT:

Objectives

To assess the risks associated with relaxing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-related physical distancing restrictions and lockdown policies during a period of low viral transmission.

Design

Network-based viral transmission risks in households, schools, workplaces, and a variety of community spaces and activities were simulated in an agent-based model, Covasim.

Setting

The model was calibrated for a baseline scenario reflecting the epidemiological and policy environment in Victoria during March-May 2020, a period of low community viral transmission.

Intervention

Policy changes for easing COVID-19-related restrictions from May 2020 were simulated in the context of interventions that included testing, contact tracing (including with a smartphone app

SUBMITTER: Scott N 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7753668 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature