Predictors for County Level Variations in Initial 4-week COVID-19 Incidence and Case Fatality Risk in the United States.

ABSTRACT: While studies indicate differences in incidence and case fatality risk of COVID-19, few efforts have shed light on regional variations in the intensity of initial community spread. We conducted a nationwide study using county-level data on COVID-19 from Center for Systems Science and Engineering at Johns Hopkins University. We characterized intensity of initial community COVID-19 attack by calculating the incidence and case fatality risk (CFR) for the first 4-week period of COVID-19 spread in each county. We used multivariate multilevel multinomial logistic regression to estimate the association of county-level characteristics with COVID-19 incidence and CFR. Of 3,143 counties, we included 1,052 with at least 100 reported cases on June 1st. Median incidence was 193.4 per 100,000 population

SUBMITTER: Khose S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7781326 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature