Curbing the COVID-19 pandemic with facility-based isolation of mild cases: a mathematical modeling study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

In many countries, patients with mild coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) are told to self-isolate at home, but imperfect compliance and shared living space with uninfected people limit the effectiveness of home-based isolation. We examine the impact of facility-based isolation compared to self-isolation at home on the continuing epidemic in the USA.

Methods

We developed a compartment model to simulate the dynamic transmission of COVID-19 and calibrated it to key epidemic measures in the USA from March to September 2020. We simulated facility-based isolation strategies with various capacities and starting times under different diagnosis rates. Our primary model outcomes are new infections and deaths over 2 months from October 2020 onwards. In addition to national-

SUBMITTER: Chen S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7799023 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature