Estimating epidemiological parameters using diagnostic testing data from low pathogenicity avian influenza infected turkey houses.

ABSTRACT: Limiting spread of low pathogenicity avian influenza (LPAI) during an outbreak is critical to reduce the negative impact on poultry producers and local economies. Mathematical models of disease transmission can support outbreak control efforts by estimating relevant epidemiological parameters. In this article, diagnostic testing data from each house on a premises infected during a LPAI H5N2 outbreak in the state of Minnesota in the United States in 2018 was used to estimate the time of virus introduction and adequate contact rate, which determines the rate of disease spread. A well-defined most likely time of virus introduction, and upper and lower 95% credibility intervals were estimated for each house. The length of the 95% credibility intervals ranged from 11 to 22 with a mean of 17 day

SUBMITTER: Bonney PJ 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7810853 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature