Dynamical characteristics of the COVID-19 epidemic: Estimation from cases in Colombia.

ABSTRACT:

Objective

To characterize the dynamics of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic, for modeling purposes.

Methods

Data from Colombian official case information were collated for a period of 5 months. Dynamical parameters of the disease spread were then estimated from the data. Probability distribution models were identified, representing the time from symptom onset to hospitalization, to intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and to death. Kaplan-Meier estimates were also computed for the probability of eventually requiring hospitalization, needing ICU attention, and dying from the disease (the case fatality ratio).

Results

Probability distributions of the times and probabilities were computed for the population and for groups based on age and sex. The results

SUBMITTER: Diaz H 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7846888 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature