Primary Care Prognostic (PCP) Index of 11-Year Mortality Risk: Development and Validation of a Brief Prognostic Tool.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Healthcare providers use a life expectancy of at least 5 to 10 years in shared clinical decision-making with older adults about cancer screening, major surgeries, and disease prevention interventions. At present, few prognostic indexes predict long-term mortality beyond 10 years or are suited for use in primary care settings.

Objective

We developed and validated an 8-item multidimensional index predicting 11-year mortality for use in primary care.

Design, setting, and participants

Using data from the Singapore Longitudinal Ageing Studies (SLAS), we developed a Primary Care Prognostic (PCP) Index for predicting 11-year mortality risk in a development cohort (n = 1550) and validated it in a geographically different cohort (n = 928).

Main measures

The P

SUBMITTER: Chiang GSH 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7858716 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature