Model-based spatial-temporal mapping of opisthorchiasis in endemic countries of Southeast Asia.

ABSTRACT: Opisthorchiasis is an overlooked danger to Southeast Asia. High-resolution disease risk maps are critical but have not been available for Southeast Asia. Georeferenced disease data and potential influencing factor data were collected through a systematic review of literatures and open-access databases, respectively. Bayesian spatial-temporal joint models were developed to analyze both point- and area-level disease data, within a logit regression in combination of potential influencing factors and spatial-temporal random effects. The model-based risk mapping identified areas of low, moderate, and high prevalence across the study region. Even though the overall population-adjusted estimated prevalence presented a trend down, a total of 12.39 million (95% Bayesian credible intervals [BCI]: 10

SUBMITTER: Zhao TT 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7870142 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature