Optimal control of the COVID-19 pandemic: controlled sanitary deconfinement in Portugal.

ABSTRACT: The COVID-19 pandemic has forced policy makers to decree urgent confinements to stop a rapid and massive contagion. However, after that stage, societies are being forced to find an equilibrium between the need to reduce contagion rates and the need to reopen their economies. The experience hitherto lived has provided data on the evolution of the pandemic, in particular the population dynamics as a result of the public health measures enacted. This allows the formulation of forecasting mathematical models to anticipate the consequences of political decisions. Here we propose a model to do so and apply it to the case of Portugal. With a mathematical deterministic model, described by a system of ordinary differential equations, we fit the real evolution of COVID-19 in this country. After iden

SUBMITTER: Silva CJ 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7876047 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature