Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 transmission dynamics in Uganda: Implications of complacency and early easing of lockdown.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Uganda has a unique set up comprised of resource-constrained economy, social-economic challenges, politically diverse regional neighborhood and home to long-standing refuge crisis that comes from long and protracted conflicts of the great lakes. The devastation of the on-going global pandemic outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is likely to be escalated by these circumstances with expectations of the impact of the disease being severe.

Materials and methods

In this study, we formulate a mathematical model that incorporates the currently known disease characteristics and tracks various intervention measures that the government of Uganda has implemented since the reporting of the first case in March 2020. We then evaluate these m

SUBMITTER: Mugisha JYT 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7899325 | biostudies-literature | 2021

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature