Implications of the COVID-19 pandemic in eliminating trachoma as a public health problem.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Progress towards elimination of trachoma as a public health problem has been substantial, but the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has disrupted community-based control efforts.

Methods

We use a susceptible-infected model to estimate the impact of delayed distribution of azithromycin treatment on the prevalence of active trachoma.

Results

We identify three distinct scenarios for geographic districts depending on whether the basic reproduction number and the treatment-associated reproduction number are above or below a value of 1. We find that when the basic reproduction number is <1, no significant delays in disease control will be caused. However, when the basic reproduction number is >1, significant delays can occur. In most districts, 1 y of

SUBMITTER: Blumberg S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7928550 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature