[Evaluation of social distancing measures on the transmissibility of COVID-19 in rural areas. Retrospective logitudinal study of posible cases].

ABSTRACT:

Aim

To evaluate the social distance effect on the daily frequency of possible SARS-CoV-2 cases in Primary Care, in relation to the predictive model Kermack-McKendrick.

Methods

Longitudinal retrospective study in 2 rural populations of Aragon (13,579h). A time series evaluation with a t-Student analysis was carry on, during the first 70 days of the pandemic. A simple Kermack-McKendrick predictive model was compared with the possible COVID-19 cases. Complementary ANOVA analysis to assess the before-after number of daily cases, follow-up days and days from symptoms onset to first contact with Primary Health Care.

Results

Three hundred and fifty-nine cases were detected (53.4% women; 70.7% under 60). Primary Care followed 95.3% of cases. The number of cases during the fir

SUBMITTER: Pena-Galo E 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7938792 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature