Predicting endoscopic activity recovery in England after COVID-19: a national analysis.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The COVID-19 pandemic has led to a substantial reduction in gastrointestinal endoscopies, creating a backlog of procedures. We aimed to quantify this backlog nationally for England and assess how various interventions might mitigate the backlog.

Methods

We did a national analysis of data for colonoscopies, flexible sigmoidoscopies, and gastroscopies from National Health Service (NHS) trusts in NHS England's Monthly Diagnostic Waiting Times and Activity dataset. Trusts were excluded if monthly data were incomplete. To estimate the potential backlog, we used linear logistic regression to project the cumulative deficit between actual procedures performed and expected procedures, based on historical pre-pandemic trends. We then made further estimations of the change t

SUBMITTER: Ho KMA 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7946568 | biostudies-literature | 2021 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature