Vaccination and non-pharmaceutical interventions for COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The dynamics of vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 are complicated by age-dependent factors, changing levels of infection, and the relaxation of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) as the perceived risk declines, necessitating the use of mathematical models. Our aims were to use epidemiological data from the UK together with estimates of vaccine efficacy to predict the possible long-term dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 under the planned vaccine rollout.

Methods

In this study, we used a mathematical model structured by age and UK region, fitted to a range of epidemiological data in the UK, which incorporated the planned rollout of a two-dose vaccination programme (doses 12 weeks apart, protection onset 14 days after vaccination). We assumed default vaccine uptake of 95% in

SUBMITTER: Moore S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7972312 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature