Evaluating multiple historical climate products in ecological models under current and projected temperatures.

ABSTRACT: Gridded historical climate products (GHCPs) are employed with increasing frequency when modeling ecological phenomena across large scales and predicting ecological responses to projected climate changes. Concurrently, there is an increasing acknowledgement of the need to account for uncertainty when employing climate projections from ensembles of global circulation models (GCMs) and emissions scenarios. Despite the growing usage and documented differences among GHCPs, uncertainty characterization has primarily focused on GCM and emissions scenario choice, while the consequences of using a single GHCP to make predictions over space and time have received less attention. Here we employ average July temperature data from observations and seven GHCPs to model plant canopy cover and tree basal

SUBMITTER: Sadoti G 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7988543 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature