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Geographically-targeted COVID-19 vaccination is more equitable than age-based thresholds alone.


ABSTRACT: COVID-19 mortality increases dramatically with age and is also substantially higher among Black, Indigenous, and People of Color (BIPOC) populations in the United States. These two facts introduce tradeoffs because BIPOC populations are younger than white populations. In analyses of California and Minnesota--demographically divergent states--we show that COVID vaccination schedules based solely on age benefit the older white populations at the expense of younger BIPOC populations with higher risk of death from COVID-19. We find that strategies that prioritize high-risk geographic areas for vaccination at all ages better target mortality risk than age-based strategies alone, although they do not always perform as well as direct prioritization of high-risk racial/ethnic groups.

SUBMITTER: Wrigley-Field E 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8010750 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Geographically-targeted COVID-19 vaccination is more equitable than age-based thresholds alone.

Wrigley-Field Elizabeth E   Kiang Mathew V MV   Riley Alicia R AR   Barbieri Magali M   Chen Yea-Hung YH   Duchowny Kate A KA   Matthay Ellicott C EC   Van Riper David D   Jegathesan Kirrthana K   Bibbins-Domingo Kirsten K   Leider Jonathon P JP  

medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences 20210730


COVID-19 mortality increases dramatically with age and is also substantially higher among Black, Indigenous, and People of Color (BIPOC) populations in the United States. These two facts introduce tradeoffs because BIPOC populations are younger than white populations. In analyses of California and Minnesota--demographically divergent states--we show that COVID vaccination schedules based solely on age benefit the older white populations at the expense of younger BIPOC populations with higher ris  ...[more]

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