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A U-shaped association between baseline neutrophil count and COVID-19-related mortality: A retrospective cohort study.

ABSTRACT: Several descriptive studies have reported that higher neutrophil count (NC) may be correlated with poor prognosis in patients with confirmed COVID-19 infection. However, the findings from these studies are limited by methodology and data analysis. This study is a cohort study. We nonselectively and consecutively collected a total of 663 participants in a Chinese hospital from January 7 to February 28. Standardized and two-piecewise Cox regression model were employed to evaluate the association between baseline neutrophil count (bNC), neutrophil count change rate (NCR), and death. bNC had a U-shaped association with death. In the range of 0.1 to ≤1.49 × 10⁹ /L (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.19, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.05-0.66) and >3.55 × 10⁹ /L of bNC (HR = 2.82, 95% CI = 1.19-6.67), the trends on bNC with mortality were opposite. By recursive algorithm, the bNC at which the risk of the death was lower in the range of >1.49 to ≤3.55 × 10⁹ /L (HR = 13.64, 95% CI = 0.25-74.71). In addition, we find that NCRs (NCR1 and NCR2) are not associated with COVID-19-related deaths. Compared with NCR, bNC has the potential to be used for early risk stratification in patients with COVID-19 infection. The relationship between bNC and mortality was U-shaped. The safe range of bNC was 1.64-4.0 × 10⁹ /L. Identifying the correlation may be helpful for early risk stratification and medical decision-making.

SUBMITTER: Fu W

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8014534 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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A U-shaped association between baseline neutrophil count and COVID-19-related mortality: A retrospective cohort study.

Fu Wei W Chen Chi C Chen Xin-Lin XL Wang Kun K Zuo Peiyuan P Liu Yuwei Y Zhang Meng M Zhao Xiaofang X Xie Songpu S Zhang Hao H Geng Yan Y Liu Chengyun C

Journal of medical virology 20210412 7

Several descriptive studies have reported that higher neutrophil count (NC) may be correlated with poor prognosis in patients with confirmed COVID-19 infection. However, the findings from these studies are limited by methodology and data analysis. This study is a cohort study. We nonselectively and consecutively collected a total of 663 participants in a Chinese hospital from January 7 to February 28. Standardized and two-piecewise Cox regression model were employed to evaluate the association b ...[more]

PMID: 33463721

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Project description:BackgroundNeutrophil-to-lymphocyte count ratio (NLCR) has been shown as a feasible parameter associated with outcomes of tumor patients and an accessible predictor of bacteremia. However, only a handful of research shed the light on the association between NLCR and outcomes of septic patients. This study is aimed to evaluate the association between NLCR and all-cause mortality in a population of adult septic patients.MethodsWe extracted clinical data from Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC)-III V1.4, a free, large-scale, single-center database. NLCR was computed individually. Patients were categorized by quartiles of NLCR. The associations between NLCR quartiles and 28-day all-cause mortality in septic patients were assessed using Cox proportional hazards models and subgroup analyzes. To evaluate the accuracy of NLCR in predicting 28-day mortality of sepsis, receiver operator characteristic curves (ROC), areas under the curve (AUC), and the Youden's J Index were calculated. Other outcomes included 7-day all-cause mortality, mortality in the intensive care units (ICU), in-hospital mortality and length of ICU stay.ResultsA total of 3,043 eligible patients were included in the study, of which, 760, 759, 766 and 758 patients were fallen in the first quartile (≤5.89), the second quartile (>5.89, ≤10.69), the third quartile (>10.69, ≤20.25) and the fourth quartile (>20.25) of NLCR, respectively. The 7-day mortality (13.4%, 9.9%, 13.6% and 14.2%; P=0.064) showed no difference in the four quartiles. In multivariate analysis, after adjusting for confounding factors, the highest NLCR quartile (>20.25) was associated with increased 28-day all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 1.22, 95% Cl: 1.01-1.49; P=0.046]. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) for NLCR was 0.553 (95% CI: 0.529-0.576) for 28-day mortality.ConclusionsHigh NLCR (>20.25) is independently related to increased 28-day all-cause mortality in adult septic patients of a limited sensibility and specificity. Further large multi-center prospective studies are needed to confirm such relationship and to validate whose clinical significance.

Project description:Background and purposePrevious studies have described an association between pulse pressure (PP) level and mortality in stroke patients. Evidence of associations between PP level and the risk of mortality remains unknown in non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) patients. We aimed to explore the relationship between the baseline PP level and hospital mortality.MethodsThis cohort study of 693 non-traumatic SAH adults used Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-IV) data from 2008-2019 admissions to Intensive Care Unit (ICU). PP level was calculated as the first value after admission to the ICU. The endpoint of the study was in-hospital mortality. Cox proportional hazards models were utilized to analyze the association between baseline PP level and hospital mortality. Restricted Cubic Splines (RCS) analysis was utilized to determine the relationship curve between hospital mortality and PP level and examine the threshold saturation effect. We further applied Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis to examine the consistency of these correlations. The interaction test was used to identify subgroups with differences.ResultsThe mean age of the study population was 58.8 ± 14.6 years, and 304 (43.9%) of participants were female. When baseline PP level was assessed in quartiles, compared to the reference group (Q1 ≤ 56 mmHg), the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) in Q2 (57-68 mmHg), Q3(69-82 mmHg), Q4 (≥83 mmHg) were 0.55 (95% CI: 0.33-0.93, p = 0.026), 0.99 (95% CI, 0.62-1.59, p = 0.966), and 0.99 (95% CI: 0.62-1.59, p = 0.954), respectively. In the threshold analysis, for every 5 mmHg increase in PP level, there was an 18.2% decrease in hospital mortality (adjusted HR, 0.818; 95% CI, 0.738-0.907; p = 0.0001) in those with PP level less than 60 mmHg, and a 7.7% increase in hospital mortality (adjusted HR, 1.077; 95% CI, 1.018-1.139; p = 0.0096) in those with PP level was 60 mmHg or higher.ConclusionFor patients with non-traumatic SAH, the association between baseline PP and risk of hospital mortality was non-linear, with an inflection point at 60 mmHg and a minimal risk at 57 to 68 mmHg (Q2) of baseline PP level.

Project description:BackgroundPrevious studies have shown that an elevated triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index was associated with all-cause mortality in both general adult individuals and critically ill adult patients. However, the relationship between the TyG index and clinical prognosis in pediatric patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) remains unknown. We aimed to investigate the association of the TyG index with in-hospital all-cause mortality in critically ill pediatric patients.MethodsA total of 5706 patients in the Pediatric Intensive Care database were enrolled in this study. The primary outcome was 30-day in-hospital all-cause mortality, and secondary outcome was 30-day in-ICU all-cause mortality. The restricted cubic spline (RCS) curves and two-piecewise multivariate Cox hazard regression models were performed to explore the relationship between the TyG index and outcomes.ResultsThe median age of the study population was 20.5 [interquartile range (IQR): 4.8, 63.0] months, and 3269 (57.3%) of the patients were male. The mean TyG index level was 8.6 ± 0.7. A total of 244 (4.3%) patients died within 30 days of hospitalization during a median follow-up of 11 [7, 18] days, and 236 (4.1%) patients died in ICU within 30 days of hospitalization during a median follow-up of 6 [3, 11] days. The RCS curves indicated a U-shape association between the TyG index and 30-day in-hospital and in-ICU all-cause mortality (both P values for non-linear < 0.001). The risk of 30-day in-hospital all-cause mortality was negatively correlated with the TyG index until it bottoms out at 8.6 (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.72, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.55-0.93). However, when the TyG index was higher than 8.6, the risk of primary outcome increased significantly (adjusted HR, 1.51, 95% CI 1.16-1.96]). For 30-day in-ICU all-cause mortality, we also found a similar relationship (TyG < 8.6: adjusted HR, 0.75, 95% CI 0.57-0.98; TyG ≥ 8.6: adjusted HR, 1.42, 95% CI 1.08-1.85). Those results were consistent in subgroups and various sensitivity analysis.ConclusionsOur study showed that the association between the TyG index and 30-day in-hospital and in-ICU all-cause mortality was nonlinear U-shaped, with a cutoff point at the TyG index of 8.6 in critically ill pediatric patients. Our findings suggest that the TyG index may be a novel and important factor for the short-term clinical prognosis in pediatric patients.

Dataset Information

A U-shaped association between baseline neutrophil count and COVID-19-related mortality: A retrospective cohort study.

Publications

A U-shaped association between baseline neutrophil count and COVID-19-related mortality: A retrospective cohort study.

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