Estimation of the SARS-CoV-2 transmission probability in confined traffic space and evaluation of the mitigation strategies.

ABSTRACT: Public transport is a fundamental service for the resumption of work and production, but the enclosed environment and dense population create very favorable conditions for the spread of epidemic infections. Thus, effective public health interventions are urgently introduced. The objective of this paper is to quantitatively estimate the SARS-CoV-2 transmission probability and evaluate the influence of environmental parameters and individual intervention on the epidemic prevention. For this purpose, (1) we estimate the virus emission rate with Diamond Princess Cruise Ship infection data by Monte Carlo simulation and the improved Wells-Riley model, and (2) employ the reproductive number R to quantify diverse mitigation strategies. Different determinants are examined such as the duration of ex

SUBMITTER: Chen L 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8016655 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature