Evaluating the impact of the travel ban within mainland China on the epidemic of the COVID-19.

ABSTRACT:

Objectives

The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic expanded its geographic distribution through the movement of humans and caused subsequent local outbreaks. Hence, it is essential to investigate how human mobility and travel ban affect the transmission and spatial spread while minimizing the impact on social activities and national economics.

Methods

We developed a mobility network model for spatial epidemics, explicitly taking into account time-varying inter-province and inner-province population flows, spatial heterogeneity in terms of disease transmission, as well as the impact of media reports. The model is applied to study the epidemic of the dynamic network of 30 provinces of mainland China. The model was calibrated using the publicly available incidence and movement data.

R

SUBMITTER: Xue L 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8024219 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature