Sustainable border control policy in the COVID-19 pandemic: A math modeling study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Imported COVID-19 cases, if unchecked, can jeopardize the effort of domestic containment. We aim to find out what sustainable border control options for different entities (e.g., countries, states) exist during the reopening phases, given their own choice of domestic control measures.

Methods

We propose a SUIHR model, which has built-in imported risk and (1-tier) contact tracing to study the cross-border spreading and control of COVID-19. Under plausible parameter assumptions, we examine the effectiveness of border control policies, in combination with internal measures, to confine the virus and avoid reverting back to more restrictive life styles again.

Results

When the basic reproduction number R₀ of COVID-19 exceeds 2.5, even 100% effective co

SUBMITTER: Zhu Z 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8025603 | biostudies-literature | 2021 May-Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature