Heterogeneous interventions reduce the spread of COVID-19 in simulations on real mobility data.

ABSTRACT: Major interventions have been introduced worldwide to slow down the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus. Large scale lockdown of human movements are effective in reducing the spread, but they come at a cost of significantly limited societal functions. We show that natural human movements are statistically diverse, and the spread of the disease is significantly influenced by a small group of active individuals and gathering venues. We find that interventions focused on these most mobile individuals and popular venues reduce both the peak infection rate and the total infected population while retaining high social activity levels. These trends are seen consistently in simulations with real human mobility data of different scales, resolutions, and modalities from multiple cities across the world.

SUBMITTER: Wang H 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8034422 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature