Modelling the effectiveness of intervention strategies to control COVID-19 outbreaks and estimating healthcare demand in Germany.

ABSTRACT:

Objectives

An outbreak of the novel coronavirus in December 2019 caused a worldwide pandemic. This disease also impacts European countries, including Germany. Without effective medicines or vaccines, non-pharmaceutical interventions are the best strategy to reduce the number of cases.

Study design

A deterministic model was simulated to evaluate the number of infectious and healthcare demand.

Method

Using an age-structured SEIR model for the COVID-19 transmission, we project the COVID-19-associated demand for hospital and ICU beds within Germany. We estimated the effectiveness of different control measures, including active case-finding and quarantining of asymptomatic persons, self-isolation of people who had contact with an infectious person, and physical distancing,

SUBMITTER: Chadsuthi S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8054549 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature