Comparing denominator sources for real-time disease incidence modeling: American Community Survey and WorldPop.

ABSTRACT: Across the United States public health community in 2020, in the midst of a pandemic and increased concern regarding racial/ethnic health disparities, there is widespread concern about our ability to accurately estimate small-area disease incidence rates due to the absence of a recent census to obtain reliable population denominators. 2010 decennial census data are likely outdated, and intercensal population estimates from the Census Bureau, which are less temporally misaligned with real-time disease incidence data, are not recommended for use with small areas. Machine learning-based population estimates are an attractive option but have not been validated for use in epidemiologic studies. Treating 2010 decennial census counts as a "ground truth", we conduct a case study to compare the per

SUBMITTER: Nethery RC 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8081984 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature