Modelling the transmission dynamics of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome in Jiangsu Province, China.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is an emerging infectious disease that is regionally distributed in Asia, with high fatality. Constructing the transmission model of SFTS could help provide clues for disease control and fill the gap in research on SFTS models.

Methods

We built an SFTS transmission dynamics model based on the susceptible-exposed-infectious-asymptomatic-recovered (SEIAR) model and the epidemiological characteristics of SFTS in Jiangsu Province. This model was used to evaluate the effect by cutting off different transmission routes and taking different interventions into account, to offer clues for disease prevention and control.

Results

The transmission model fits the reported data well with a minimum R² value of

SUBMITTER: Zhang N 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8100741 | biostudies-literature | 2021 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature