Projecting changes in extreme rainfall from three tropical cyclones using the design-rainfall approach.

ABSTRACT: In the past quarter-century, Eastern North Carolina (ENC) experienced several devastating tropical cyclones that led to widespread flooding and damage. Historical climate records reflect an increasing trend in the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events across the eastern U.S., which is projected to continue to increase throughout the twenty-first century. Potential changes to extreme rainfall across ENC are explored and quantified for 2025-2100 for three tropical cyclones using an approach based on relative changes in future extreme rainfall frequencies (return periods) from dynamically downscaled projections. Maximum rainfall intensities at '2100' could increase locally by 168%, with widespread regional increases in total rainfall up to 44%. Although these magnitudes exceed th

SUBMITTER: Jalowska AM 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8128695 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature