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Risk Prediction of Barrett's Esophagus in a Taiwanese Health Examination Center Based on Regression Models.

ABSTRACT: Determining the target population for the screening of Barrett's esophagus (BE), a precancerous condition of esophageal adenocarcinoma, remains a challenge in Asia. The aim of our study was to develop risk prediction models for BE using logistic regression (LR) and artificial neural network (ANN) methods. Their predictive performances were compared. We retrospectively analyzed 9646 adults aged ≥20 years undergoing upper gastrointestinal endoscopy at a health examinations center in Taiwan. Evaluated by using 10-fold cross-validation, both models exhibited good discriminative power, with comparable area under curve (AUC) for the LR and ANN models (Both AUC were 0.702). Our risk prediction models for BE were developed from individuals with or without clinical indications of upper gastrointestinal endoscopy. The models have the potential to serve as a practical tool for identifying high-risk individuals of BE among the general population for endoscopic screening.

SUBMITTER: Lin PH

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8157048 | biostudies-literature | 2021 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Risk Prediction of Barrett's Esophagus in a Taiwanese Health Examination Center Based on Regression Models.

Lin Po-Hsiang PH Hsieh Jer-Guang JG Yu Hsien-Chung HC Jeng Jyh-Horng JH Hsu Chiao-Lin CL Chen Chien-Hua CH Wu Pin-Chieh PC

International journal of environmental research and public health 20210517 10

Determining the target population for the screening of Barrett's esophagus (BE), a precancerous condition of esophageal adenocarcinoma, remains a challenge in Asia. The aim of our study was to develop risk prediction models for BE using logistic regression (LR) and artificial neural network (ANN) methods. Their predictive performances were compared. We retrospectively analyzed 9646 adults aged ≥20 years undergoing upper gastrointestinal endoscopy at a health examinations center in Taiwan. Evalua ...[more]

PMID: 34067792

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Project description:Barrett's esophagus (BE) is an intestinal metaplasia that occurs in the setting of chronic acid and bile reflux and is associated with a risk for adenocarcinoma. Expression of intestine-specific transcription factors in the esophagus likely contributes to metaplasia development. Our objective was to explore the effects of an intestine-specific transcription factor when expressed in the mouse esophageal epithelium. Transgenic mice were derived in which the transcription factor Cdx2 is expressed in squamous epithelium using the murine Keratin-14 gene promoter. Effects of the transgene upon cell proliferation and differentiation, gene expression, and barrier integrity were explored. K14-Cdx2 mice express the Cdx2 transgene in esophageal squamous tissues. Cdx2 expression was associated with reduced basal epithelial cell proliferation and altered cell morphology. Ultrastructurally two changes were noted. Cdx2 expression was associated with dilated space between the basal cells and diminished cell-cell adhesion caused by reduced Desmocollin-3 mRNA and protein expression. This compromised epithelial barrier function, as the measured trans-epithelial electrical resistance (TEER) of the K14-Cdx2 epithelium was significantly reduced compared to controls (1189 Ohm*cm(2) ±343.5 to 508 Ohm*cm(2)±92.48, p = 0.0532). Secondly, basal cells with features of a transitional cell type, intermediate between keratinocytes and columnar Barrett's epithelial cells, were observed. These cells had reduced keratin bundles and increased endoplasmic reticulum levels, suggesting the adoption of secretory-cell features. Moreover, at the ultrastructural level they resembled "Distinctive" cells associated with multilayered epithelium. Treatment of the K14-Cdx2 mice with 5'-Azacytidine elicited expression of BE-associated genes including Cdx1, Krt18, and Slc26a3/Dra, suggesting the phenotype could be advanced under certain conditions. We conclude that ectopic Cdx2 expression in keratinocytes alters cell proliferation, barrier function, and differentiation. These altered cells represent a transitional cell type between normal squamous and columnar BE cells. The K14-Cdx2 mice represent a useful model to study progression from squamous epithelium to BE.

Dataset Information

Risk Prediction of Barrett's Esophagus in a Taiwanese Health Examination Center Based on Regression Models.

Publications

Risk Prediction of Barrett's Esophagus in a Taiwanese Health Examination Center Based on Regression Models.

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