COVID-19 control strategies and intervention effects in resource limited settings: A modeling study.

ABSTRACT:

Introduction

Many countries with weaker health systems are struggling to put together a coherent strategy against the COVID-19 epidemic. We explored COVID-19 control strategies that could offer the greatest benefit in resource limited settings.

Methods

Using an age-structured SEIR model, we explored the effects of COVID-19 control interventions-a lockdown, physical distancing measures, and active case finding (testing and isolation, contact tracing and quarantine)-implemented individually and in combination to control a hypothetical COVID-19 epidemic in Kathmandu (population 2.6 million), Nepal.

Results

A month-long lockdown will delay peak demand for hospital beds by 36 days, as compared to a base scenario of no intervention (peak demand at 108 days (IQR 97-119); a 2

SUBMITTER: Pandey KR 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8172066 | biostudies-literature | 2021

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature