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Will achieving herd immunity be a road to success to end the COVID-19 pandemic?

ABSTRACT: As the COVID-19 pandemic continues, the availability of several different new vaccines, their varying supply levels, effectiveness, and immunity duration across different ethnic populations, together with natural infection rates, will have an impact on when each country can reach herd immunity (ranging from 15.3% to 77.1%). Here we estimate the population proportions still required to gain immunity (ranging from 0.01% to 48.8%) to reach an overall herd immunity level to stop the exponential virus spread in 32 selected countries.

SUBMITTER: Kwok KO

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8189733 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Will achieving herd immunity be a road to success to end the COVID-19 pandemic?

Kwok Kin On KO McNeil Edward B EB Tsoi Margaret Ting Fong MTF Wei Vivian Wan In VWI Wong Samuel Yeung Shan SYS Tang Julian Wei Tze JWT

The Journal of infection 20210610 3

As the COVID-19 pandemic continues, the availability of several different new vaccines, their varying supply levels, effectiveness, and immunity duration across different ethnic populations, together with natural infection rates, will have an impact on when each country can reach herd immunity (ranging from 15.3% to 77.1%). Here we estimate the population proportions still required to gain immunity (ranging from 0.01% to 48.8%) to reach an overall herd immunity level to stop the exponential viru ...[more]

PMID: 34118274

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