The impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 epidemic growth in the 37 OECD member states.

ABSTRACT: We estimated the impact of a comprehensive set of non-pharmeceutical interventions on the COVID-19 epidemic growth rate across the 37 member states of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development during the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic and between October and December 2020. For this task, we conducted a data-driven, longitudinal analysis using a multilevel modelling approach with both maximum likelihood and Bayesian estimation. We found that during the early phase of the epidemic: implementing restrictions on gatherings of more than 100 people, between 11 and 100 people, and 10 people or less was associated with a respective average reduction of 2.58%, 2.78% and 2.81% in the daily growth rate in weekly confirmed cases; requiring closing for some sectors or for all but

SUBMITTER: Pozo-Martin F 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8192111 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature