Local impacts of climate change on winter wheat in Great Britain.

ABSTRACT: Under future CMIP5 climate change scenarios for 2050, an increase in wheat yield of about 10% is predicted in Great Britain (GB) as a result of the combined effect of CO₂ fertilization and a shift in phenology. Compared to the present day, crops escape increases in the climate impacts of drought and heat stresses on grain yield by developing before these stresses can occur. In the future, yield losses from water stress over a growing season will remain about the same across Great Britain with losses reaching around 20% of potential yield, while losses from drought around flowering will decrease and account for about 9% of water limited yield. Yield losses from heat stress around flowering will remain negligible in the future. These conclusions are drawn from a modelling study ba

SUBMITTER: Putelat T 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8206732 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature