Using syndromic measures of mortality to capture the dynamics of COVID-19 in Java, Indonesia, in the context of vaccination rollout.

ABSTRACT:

Background

As in many countries, quantifying COVID-19 spread in Indonesia remains challenging due to testing limitations. In Java, non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) were implemented throughout 2020. However, as a vaccination campaign launches, cases and deaths are rising across the island.

Methods

We used modelling to explore the extent to which data on burials in Jakarta using strict COVID-19 protocols (C19P) provide additional insight into the transmissibility of the disease, epidemic trajectory, and the impact of NPIs. We assess how implementation of NPIs in early 2021 will shape the epidemic during the period of likely vaccine rollout.

Results

C19P burial data in Jakarta suggest a death toll approximately 3.3 times higher than reported. Transmission estimate

SUBMITTER: Djaafara BA 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8212796 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature