The Signature Features of COVID-19 Pandemic in a Hybrid Mathematical Model-Implications for Optimal Work-School Lockdown Policy.

ABSTRACT: The new COVID-19 pandemic has challenged policymakers on key issues. Most countries have adopted "lockdown" policies to reduce the spatial spread of COVID-19, but they have damaged the economic and moral fabric of society. Mathematical modeling in non-pharmaceutical intervention policy management has proven to be a major weapon in this fight due to the lack of an effective COVID-19 vaccine. A new hybrid model for COVID-19 dynamics using both an age-structured mathematical model based on the SIRD model and spatio-temporal model in silico is presented, analyzing the data of COVID-19 in Israel. Using the hybrid model, a method for estimating the reproduction number of an epidemic in real-time from the data of daily notification of cases is introduced. The results of the proposed model are con

SUBMITTER: Lazebnik T 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8250389 | biostudies-literature | 2021 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature