Dataset Information

A nomogram based on PI-RADS v2.1 and clinical indicators for predicting clinically significant prostate cancer in the transition zone.

ABSTRACT:

Background

This study attempted to develop a nomogram for predicting clinically significant prostate cancer (cs-PCa) in the transition zone (TZ) with the Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System version 2.1 (PI-RADS v2.1) score based on biparametric magnetic resonance imaging (bp-MRI) and clinical indicators.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed 383 patients with suspicious prostate lesions in the TZ as a training cohort and 128 patients as the validation cohort from January 2015 to March 2020. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to determine independent predictors for building a nomogram, and the performance of the nomogram was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), the calibration curve and decision curve.

Results

The PI-RADS v2.1 score and prostate-specific antigen density (PSAD) were independent predictors of TZ cs-PCa. The prediction model had a significantly higher AUC (0.936) than the individual predictors (0.914 for PI-RADS v2.1 score, P=0.045, 0.842 for PSAD, P<0.001). The nomogram showed good discrimination (AUC of 0.936 in the training cohort and 0.963 in the validation cohort) and favorable calibration. When the PI-RADS v2.1 score was combined with PSAD, the diagnostic sensitivity and specificity were 80.7% and 93.8%, respectively, which were better than those of the PI-RADS v2.1 score (sensitivity, 74.2%; specificity, 92.5%) and PSAD (sensitivity, 66.1%; specificity, 88.2%).

Conclusions

The newly constructed nomogram exhibits satisfactory predictive accuracy and consistency for TZ cs-PCa. PI-RADS v2.1 based on bp-MRI is a strong predictor in the detection of TZ cs-PCa. Adding PSAD to PI-RADS v2.1 could improve its diagnostic performance, thereby avoiding unnecessary biopsies.

SUBMITTER: Wei C

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8261422 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

A nomogram based on PI-RADS v2.1 and clinical indicators for predicting clinically significant prostate cancer in the transition zone.

Wei Chaogang C Pan Peng P Chen Tong T Zhang Yueyue Y Dai Guangcheng G Tu Jian J Jiang Zhen Z Zhao Wenlu W Shen Junkang J

Translational andrology and urology 20210601 6

<h4>Background</h4>This study attempted to develop a nomogram for predicting clinically significant prostate cancer (cs-PCa) in the transition zone (TZ) with the Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System version 2.1 (PI-RADS v2.1) score based on biparametric magnetic resonance imaging (bp-MRI) and clinical indicators.<h4>Methods</h4>We retrospectively reviewed 383 patients with suspicious prostate lesions in the TZ as a training cohort and 128 patients as the validation cohort from January 2015 ...[more]

PMID: 34295730

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Project description:PurposeTo develop and validate a radiomics nomogram for the prediction of clinically significant prostate cancer (CsPCa) in Prostate Imaging-Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) category 3 lesions.MethodsWe retrospectively enrolled 306 patients within PI-RADS 3 lesion from January 2015 to July 2020 in institution 1; the enrolled patients were randomly divided into the training group (n = 199) and test group (n = 107). Radiomics features were extracted from T2-weighted imaging (T2WI), apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) imaging, and dynamic contrast-enhanced (DCE) imaging. Synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE) was used to address the class imbalance. The ANOVA and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression model were used for feature selection and radiomics signature building. Then, a radiomics score (Rad-score) was acquired. Combined with serum prostate-specific antigen density (PSAD) level, a multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to construct a radiomics nomogram. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to evaluate radiomics signature and nomogram. The radiomics nomogram calibration and clinical usefulness were estimated through calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA). External validation was assessed, and the independent validation cohort contained 65 patients within PI-RADS 3 lesion from January 2020 to July 2021 in institution 2.ResultsA total of 75 (24.5%) and 16 (24.6%) patients had CsPCa in institution 1 and 2, respectively. The radiomics signature with SMOTE augmentation method had a higher area under the ROC curve (AUC) [0.840 (95% CI, 0.776-0.904)] than that without SMOTE method [0.730 (95% CI, 0.624-0.836), p = 0.08] in the test group and significantly increased in the external validation group [0.834 (95% CI, 0.709-0.959) vs. 0.718 (95% CI, 0.562-0.874), p = 0.017]. The radiomics nomogram showed good discrimination and calibration, with an AUC of 0.939 (95% CI, 0.913-0.965), 0.884 (95% CI, 0.831-0.937), and 0.907 (95% CI, 0.814-1) in the training, test, and external validation groups, respectively. The DCA demonstrated the clinical usefulness of radiomics nomogram.ConclusionThe radiomics nomogram that incorporates the MRI-based radiomics signature and PSAD can be conveniently used to individually predict CsPCa in patients within PI-RADS 3 lesion.

Project description:ObjectivesTo develop a nomogram prediction model based on Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System v.2.1 (PI-RADS v2.1) and contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) for predicting prostate cancer (PCa) and clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa) in males with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) 4-10 ng ml-1 to avoid unnecessary biopsy.MethodsA total of 490 patients who underwent prostate biopsy for PSA 4-10 ng ml-1 were enrolled and randomly divided into a pilot cohort (70%) and a validation cohort (30%). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were constructed to select potential predictors of PCa and csPCa, and a nomogram was created. The area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) was calculated, and compared using DeLong's test. The diagnostic performance and unnecessary biopsy rate of the nomogram prediction model were also assessed. Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test was employed to test for model fitness.ResultsThe multivariate analysis revealed that features independently associated with PCa and csPCa were age, PI-RADS score and CEUS manifestations. Incorporating these factors, the nomogram achieved good discrimination performance of AUC 0.843 for PCa, 0.876 for csPCa in the pilot cohort, and 0.818 for PCa, 0.857 for csPCa in the validation cohort, respectively, and had well-fitted calibration curves. And the diagnostic performance of the nomogram was comparable to the model including all the parameters (p > 0.05). Besides, the nomogram prediction model yielded meaningful reduction in unnecessary biopsy rate (from 74.8 to 21.1% in PCa, and from 83.7 to 5.4% in csPCa).ConclusionsThe nomogram prediction model based on age, PI-RADS v2.1 and CEUS achieved an optimal prediction of PCa and csPCa. Using this model, the PCa risk for an individual patient can be estimated, which can lead to a rational biopsy choice.Advances in knowledgeThis study gives an account of improving pre-biopsy risk stratification in males with "gray zone" PSA level through PI-RADS v2.1 and CEUS.

Dataset Information

A nomogram based on PI-RADS v2.1 and clinical indicators for predicting clinically significant prostate cancer in the transition zone.

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

A nomogram based on PI-RADS v2.1 and clinical indicators for predicting clinically significant prostate cancer in the transition zone.

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