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Prediction of survival in patients with advanced, refractory colorectal cancer in treatment with trifluridine/tipiracil: real-world vs clinical trial data.

ABSTRACT: Trifluridine/tipiracil increases overall survival (OS) in patients with refractory, metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). A post hoc exploratory analysis of the RECOURSE randomized clinical trial (RCT) established two categories, a good prognosis corresponding to subjects having a low tumor burden and indolent disease. Other models in refractory mCRC are the FAS-CORRECT and Colon Life nomogram. The main objective was to externally validate the prognostic factors of the RECOURSE and FAS-CORRECT trials, and the Colon Life nomogram in a multicenter, real-world series of mCRC treated in 3rd and successive lines with trifluridine/tipiracil. The secondary aim was to develop an OS predictive model, TAS-RECOSMO. Between 2016 and 2019, 244 patients were recruited. Median OS was 8.15 vs 8.12 months for the poor (85% of the subjects) and good (15%) prognosis groups from the RESOURCE trial, respectively, log-rank p = 0.9. The most common grade 3-4 toxicities were neutropenia (17%), asthenia (6%), and anemia (5%). The AFT lognormal model TAS-RECOSMO included six variables: ECOG-PS, KRAS/NRAS/BRAF mutation status, time between diagnosis of metastasis and beginning of trifluridine/tipiracil, NLR, CEA, and alkaline phosphatase. The model's bootstrapped bias-corrected c-index was 0.682 (95% CI, 0.636-0.722). The factors from the Colon Life model, FAS-CORRECT, and RECOURSE displayed a c-index of 0.690, 0.630, and 0.507, respectively. TAS-RECOSMO, FAS-CORRECT, and the Colon Life nomogram appear to predict OS in patients with refractory mCCR who begin trifluridine/tipiracil treatment in the real world. The prognostic groups of the RECOURCE RCT were unable to capture the situation of real-world subjects treated with trifluridine/tipiracil in this series.

SUBMITTER: Fernandez Montes A

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8275736 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Prediction of survival in patients with advanced, refractory colorectal cancer in treatment with trifluridine/tipiracil: real-world vs clinical trial data.

Fernández Montes Ana A Carmona-Bayonas Alberto A Jimenez-Fonseca Paula P Vázquez Rivera Francisca F Martinez Lago Nieves N Covela Rúa Marta M Cousillas Castiñeiras Antía A Gonzalez Villarroel Paula P De la Cámara Gómez Juan J Méndez José Carlos Méndez JCM Carriles Fernández Carmen C Sanchez Cánovas Manuel M Garcia García Teresa T

Scientific reports 20210712 1

Trifluridine/tipiracil increases overall survival (OS) in patients with refractory, metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). A post hoc exploratory analysis of the RECOURSE randomized clinical trial (RCT) established two categories, a good prognosis corresponding to subjects having a low tumor burden and indolent disease. Other models in refractory mCRC are the FAS-CORRECT and Colon Life nomogram. The main objective was to externally validate the prognostic factors of the RECOURSE and FAS-CORRECT tr ...[more]

PMID: 34253805

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Project description:BackgroundTrifluridine/tipiracil (FTD/TPI) and regorafenib (REG) are standard therapies for refractory metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). No results of large real-world data directly comparing FTD/TPI + bevacizumab (BEV) with FTD/TPI or REG monotherapy have been reported. We evaluated the efficacy and safety of FTD/TPI + BEV in a real-world setting.Materials and methodsThis retrospective study used a Japanese claims database provided by Medical Data Vision Co., Ltd. (Tokyo, Japan). Eligible patients were aged 20 years and over with a diagnosis of mCRC, and received their first dose of FTD/TPI or REG from 2014 to 2021. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS) in a propensity score matching (PSM) population in which PSM was carried out by matching using a 1 : 1 ratio for the FTD/TPI + BEV group and the control group (FTD/TPI or REG) by propensity score. To enhance robustness, sensitivity analyses of OS were carried out using the inverse probability treatment weighted (IPTW) approach and the analysis in the all eligible population. Secondary endpoints included time to treatment discontinuation (TTD), incidence of adverse events, and post-treatment.ResultsEligible population was 2369 for the FTD/TPI + BEV group and 9318 for the control group. The PSM population was 1787 for each group. Median OS (mOS) was longer in the FTD/TPI + BEV group compared to the control group [17.0 versus 11.6 months, hazard ratio (HR) = 0.70, P < 0.001] in the PSM population. Similarly, mOS was longer for the FTD/TPI + BEV group compared to that for the control group in IPTW analyses and in the all eligible population (both HRs = 0.68). Median TTD was 3.3 months for the FTD/TPI + BEV group and 1.8 months for the control group in the PSM population (P < 0.001).ConclusionsReal-world data showed that FTD/TPI + BEV was significantly associated with OS and TTD compared to FTD/TPI or REG. In clinical practice, FTD/TPI + BEV can be a favorable regimen for refractory mCRC.

Dataset Information

Prediction of survival in patients with advanced, refractory colorectal cancer in treatment with trifluridine/tipiracil: real-world vs clinical trial data.

Publications

Prediction of survival in patients with advanced, refractory colorectal cancer in treatment with trifluridine/tipiracil: real-world vs clinical trial data.

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