Tuberculosis in the Western Pacific Region: Estimating the burden of disease and return on investment 2020-2030 in four countries.

ABSTRACT:

Background

We aimed to estimate the disease burden of Tuberculosis (TB) and return on investment of TB care in selected high-burden countries of the Western Pacific Region (WPR) until 2030.

Methods

We projected the TB epidemic in Viet Nam and Lao People's Democratic Republic (PDR) 2020-2030 using a mathematical model under various scenarios: counterfactual (no TB care); baseline (TB care continues at current levels); and 12 different diagnosis and treatment interventions. We retrieved previous modeling results for China and the Philippines. We pooled the new and existing information on incidence and deaths in the four countries, covering >80% of the TB burden in WPR. We estimated the return on investment of TB care and interventions in Viet Nam and Lao PDR using a Solow mode

SUBMITTER: Estill J 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8315379 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature