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Spill-over effect of Wuhan travel ban on population flow in the outbreak stage of COVID-19 in China.


ABSTRACT: This paper investigates the imppact of COVID-19 travel restrictions on population flow in the People's Republic of China. We discover an "unreasonable" surge in population flow after the Wuhan travel ban. We further find out that such a sure of population flow is attributed to the "spill-over" effect of the Wuhan travel ban. We utilize a logistic regression model to quantify that the spill-over effect linearly decays with the travel distance to the Pandemic center city. Because of the "spill-over" effect of the travel ban policy, government authorities should design redundancy polity to simultaneously implement a travel ban for the pandemic center city and its neighboring cities to restrain human movement and pandemic transmission.

SUBMITTER: Pang Z 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8326014 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Spill-over effect of Wuhan travel ban on population flow in the outbreak stage of COVID-19 in China.

Pang Zhudan Z   Zhang Zhao Z   Zhu Chuanqi C   Wang Jinghua J  

Cities (London, England) 20210802


This paper investigates the imppact of COVID-19 travel restrictions on population flow in the People's Republic of China. We discover an "unreasonable" surge in population flow after the Wuhan travel ban. We further find out that such a sure of population flow is attributed to the "spill-over" effect of the Wuhan travel ban. We utilize a logistic regression model to quantify that the spill-over effect linearly decays with the travel distance to the Pandemic center city. Because of the "spill-ove  ...[more]

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