Project description:ImportanceShort-term outcomes after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) have improved, but little is known about longer-term outcomes.ObjectiveTo evaluate trends in 10-year all-cause mortality and hospitalization for recurrent AMI by demographic subgroups and examine the association between recurrence and mortality.Design, setting, and participantsMedicare fee-for-service beneficiaries who survived after AMI from 1995 to 2019. Subgroups were defined by age, sex, race, dual Medicare-Medicaid-eligible status, and residence in health priority areas (geographic areas with persistently high adjusted mortality and hospitalization rates). Data were analyzed from October 2020 to February 2022.ExposureMedicare fee-for-service beneficiaries who survived an AMI.Main outcomes and measuresTen-year all-cause mortality and hospitalization for recurrent AMI, beginning 30 days from the index AMI admission.ResultsOf an included 3 982 266 AMI survivors, 1 952 450 (49.0%) were female, and the mean (SD) age was 78.0 (7.4) years. Ten-year mortality and recurrent AMI rates were 72.7% (95% CI, 72.6-72.7) and 27.1% (95% CI, 27.0-27.2), respectively. Adjusted annual reductions were 1.5% (95% CI, 1.4-1.5) for mortality and 2.7% (95% CI, 2.6-2.7) for recurrence. In subgroup analyses balancing patient characteristics, hazard ratios (HRs) for mortality and recurrence were 1.13 (95% CI, 1.12-1.13) and 1.07 (95% CI, 1.06-1.07), respectively, for men vs women; 1.05 (95% CI, 1.05-1.06) and 1.08 (95% CI, 1.07-1.09) for Black vs White patients; 0.96 (95% CI, 0.95-0.96) and 1.00 (95% CI, 1.00-1.01) for other race (including American Indian and Alaska Native, Asian, Hispanic, other race or ethnicity, and unreported) vs White patients; 1.24 (95% CI, 1.24-1.24) and 1.21 (95% CI, 1.20-1.21) for dual Medicare-Medicaid-eligible vs non-dual Medicare-Medicaid-eligible patients; and 1.06 (95% CI, 1.06-1.07) and 1.00 (95% CI, 1.00-1.01) for patients in health priority areas vs other areas. For patients hospitalized in 2007 to 2009, the last 3 years for which full 10-year follow-up data were available, 10-year mortality risk was 13.9% lower than for those hospitalized in 1995 to 1997 (adjusted HR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.85-0.87) and 10-year recurrence risk was 22.5% lower (adjusted HR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.76-0.78). Mortality within 10 years after the initial AMI was higher for patients with a recurrent AMI (80.6%; 95% CI, 80.5-80.7) vs those without recurrence (72.4%; 95% CI, 72.3-72.5).Conclusions and relevanceIn this study, 10-year mortality and hospitalization for recurrence rates improved over the last decades for patients who survived the acute period of AMI. There were marked differences in outcomes and temporal trends across demographic subgroups, emphasizing the urgent need for prioritization of efforts to reduce inequities in long-term outcomes.
| S-EPMC9069341 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ImportanceThe Hospital Readmissions Reduction Program (HRRP) has been associated with a reduction in readmission rates for heart failure (HF), acute myocardial infarction (AMI), and pneumonia. It is unclear whether the HRRP has been associated with change in patient mortality.ObjectiveTo determine whether the HRRP was associated with a change in patient mortality.Design, setting, and participantsRetrospective cohort study of hospitalizations for HF, AMI, and pneumonia among Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries aged at least 65 years across 4 periods from April 1, 2005, to March 31, 2015. Period 1 and period 2 occurred before the HRRP to establish baseline trends (April 2005-September 2007 and October 2007-March 2010). Period 3 and period 4 were after HRRP announcement (April 2010 to September 2012) and HRRP implementation (October 2012 to March 2015).ExposuresAnnouncement and implementation of the HRRP.Main outcomes and measuresInverse probability-weighted mortality within 30 days of discharge following hospitalization for HF, AMI, and pneumonia, and stratified by whether there was an associated readmission. An additional end point was mortality within 45 days of initial hospital admission for target conditions.ResultsThe study cohort included 8.3 million hospitalizations for HF, AMI, and pneumonia, among which 7.9 million (mean age, 79.6 [8.7] years; 53.4% women) were alive at discharge. There were 3.2 million hospitalizations for HF, 1.8 million for AMI, and 3.0 million for pneumonia. There were 270 517 deaths within 30 days of discharge for HF, 128 088 for AMI, and 246 154 for pneumonia. Among patients with HF, 30-day postdischarge mortality increased before the announcement of the HRRP (0.27% increase from period 1 to period 2). Compared with this baseline trend, HRRP announcement (0.49% increase from period 2 to period 3; difference in change, 0.22%, P = .01) and implementation (0.52% increase from period 3 to period 4; difference in change, 0.25%, P = .001) were significantly associated with an increase in postdischarge mortality. Among patients with AMI, HRRP announcement was associated with a decline in postdischarge mortality (0.18% pre-HRRP increase vs 0.08% post-HRRP announcement decrease; difference in change, -0.26%; P = .01) and did not significantly change after HRRP implementation. Among patients with pneumonia, postdischarge mortality was stable before HRRP (0.04% increase from period 1 to period 2), but significantly increased after HRRP announcement (0.26% post-HRRP announcement increase; difference in change, 0.22%, P = .01) and implementation (0.44% post-HPPR implementation increase; difference in change, 0.40%, P < .001). The overall increase in mortality among patients with HF and pneumonia was mainly related to outcomes among patients who were not readmitted but died within 30 days of discharge. For all 3 conditions, HRRP implementation was not significantly associated with an increase in mortality within 45 days of admission, relative to pre-HRRP trends.Conclusions and relevanceAmong Medicare beneficiaries, the HRRP was significantly associated with an increase in 30-day postdischarge mortality after hospitalization for HF and pneumonia, but not for AMI. Given the study design and the lack of significant association of the HRRP with mortality within 45 days of admission, further research is needed to understand whether the increase in 30-day postdischarge mortality is a result of the policy.
| S-EPMC6583517 | biostudies-literature