Outbreaks of COVID-19 variants in US prisons: a mathematical modelling analysis of vaccination and reopening policies.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Residents of prisons have experienced disproportionate COVID-19-related health harms. To control outbreaks, many prisons in the USA restricted in-person activities, which are now resuming even as viral variants proliferate. This study aims to use mathematical modelling to assess the risks and harms of COVID-19 outbreaks in prisons under a range of policies, including resumption of activities.

Methods

We obtained daily resident-level data for all California state prisons from Jan 1, 2020, to May 15, 2021, describing prison layouts, housing status, sociodemographic and health characteristics, participation in activities, and COVID-19 testing, infection, and vaccination status. We developed a transmission-dynamic stochastic microsimulation parameterised by the Califo

SUBMITTER: Ryckman T 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8342313 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature