[Intensive care bed requirements for COVID-19 in the fall/winter of 2021 : Simulation of different scenarios under consideration of incidences and vaccination rates].

ABSTRACT:

Background

Despite the increasing vaccination rates against SARS-CoV‑2, there is a risk of a renewed wave of infections in autumn 2021 due to the high seasonality of the pathogen, with the associated renewed possible heavy burden on intensive care. In the following manuscript we simulated different scenarios using defined mathematical models to estimate the burden of intensive care treatment by COVID-19 patients within certain limits during the coming autumn.

Methods

The simulation of the scenarios uses a stationary model supplemented by the effect of vaccinations. The age group-specific risk profile for intensive care unit (ICU)-associated disease progression is calculated using third wave ICU admission data from sentinel hospitals, local DIVI registry occupancy data and th

SUBMITTER: Schuppert A 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8351237 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature