Effects of adjusting public health, travel, and social measures during the roll-out of COVID-19 vaccination: a modelling study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Since the emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic in late 2019, various public health and social measures (PHSMs) have been used to suppress and mitigate the spread of SARS-CoV-2. With mass vaccination programmes against COVID-19 being rolled out in many countries in early 2021, we aimed to evaluate to what extent travel restrictions and other PHSMs can be relaxed without exacerbating the local and global spread of COVID-19.

Methods

We adapted an existing age-structured susceptible-infectious-removed model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics that can be parameterised with country-specific age demographics and contact patterns to simulate the effect of vaccination and PHSM relaxation on transmission. We varied assumptions by age-specific susceptibility and infectiousnes

SUBMITTER: Leung K 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8354806 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature