Should international borders re-open? The impact of travel restrictions on COVID-19 importation risk.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has spread across the world at an unprecedented pace, reaching over 200 countries and territories in less than three months. In response, many governments denied entry to travellers arriving from various countries affected by the virus. While several industries continue to experience economic losses due to the imposed interventions, it is unclear whether the different travel restrictions were successful in reducing COVID-19 importations.

Methods

Here we develop a comprehensive probabilistic framework to model daily COVID-19 importations, considering different travel bans. We quantify the temporal effects of the restrictions and elucidate the relationship between incidence rates in other countries, travel flows and the expected

SUBMITTER: Liebig J 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8378112 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature