Fine-scale variation in projected climate change presents opportunities for biodiversity conservation in Europe.

ABSTRACT: Climate change is a major threat to global biodiversity, although projected changes show remarkable geographical and temporal variability. Understanding this variability allows for the identification of regions where the present-day conservation objectives may be at risk or where opportunities for biodiversity conservation emerge. We use a multi-model ensemble of regional climate models to identify areas with significantly high and low climate stability persistent throughout the twenty-first century in Europe. We then confront our predictions with the land coverage of three prominent biodiversity conservation initiatives at two scales. The continental-scale assessment shows that areas with the least stable future climate in Europe are likely to occur at low and high latitudes, with the Ibe

SUBMITTER: Hlasny T 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8390652 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature