Containing the Transmission of COVID-19: A Modeling Study in 160 Countries.

ABSTRACT: Background: It is much valuable to evaluate the comparative effectiveness of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) prevention and control in the non-pharmacological intervention phase of the pandemic across countries and identify useful experiences that could be generalized worldwide. Methods: In this study, we developed a susceptible-exposure-infectious-asymptomatic-removed (SEIAR) model to fit the daily reported COVID-19 cases in 160 countries. The time-varying reproduction number (R _t ) that was estimated through fitting the mathematical model was adopted to quantify the transmissibility. We defined a synthetic index (I _AC ) based on the value of R _t to reflect the national capability to control C

SUBMITTER: Niu Y 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8416347 | biostudies-literature | 2021

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature