Effect of easing lockdown and restriction measures on COVID-19 epidemic projection: A case study of Saudi Arabia.

ABSTRACT:

Objectives

In this study we compared two predictions of COVID-19 cases in the Kingdom Saudi Arabia (KSA) using pre-and post-relaxation of lockdown period data to provide an insight regarding rational exit strategies. We also applied these projections to understand economic costs versus health benefit of lockdown measures.

Methods

We analyzed open access data on COVID-19 cases from March 6 to January 16, 2021 in the KSA. To understand the epidemic projection during the pre- and post-lockdown period, we used two types of modeling: the SIR model, and the time series model. We also estimated the costs and benefits of lockdown- QALY gained compared to the costs of lockdown considering the payment threshold of the Government.

Results

Prediction using lockdown period data su

SUBMITTER: Shimul SN 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8428777 | biostudies-literature | 2021

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature